Tuesday, July 27, 2010




Civilization Began, Civilization Crashed
Either Way the Climate Changed!


If you read the Jarad Diamond’s article, “Agriculture, the Worst Mistake in the History of the Human Race”, you know that he gave several reasons why moving from a hunter/gatherer life style to farming was a big mistake. The article is full of thoughts that rattled my brain when I first read it. I too had always considered agriculture as a good thing. My grandfather and my father were farmers after all. However the more I thought about it, the more I realized that he was right. However it is too late now. We are dependent on agriculture and one of the most important reasons we need to be fully aware of that is the second reason he gave…

“…because of a limited number of crops, farmers ran the risk of starvation if one crop failed.”

We can deal with the “limited number of crops” later. Right now I want to deal with “if one crop failed”.

Why do crops fail????? The weather – if it is too cold, crops freeze. If it’s too hot and dry, crops wither and die. If it is too wet … well that is more complicated. The thing to understand is that weather in any individual place where crops are grown, whether it is too wet, too dry, too cold or just right for agriculture, depends on the global climate.

Take a good look at the graph below. What do you see?



First, you should see the rising and falling of the global temperature over the last 8000 years. Second, you should see that the differences are relatively small, only 1-2 degrees. Third, there are two major civilization crashes located on this graph. The first depicts the time the world’s first civilizations declined and the second is the fall of the Roman Empire. Note that both declines coincided with a decrease in global temperature. And then there is the Little Ice Age...





Thursday, July 22, 2010

Climate Change - Patterns in Time
The Biology of Human Civilizations and the Climate







I am starting this blog first and foremost because I am fed up with the “climate change deniers”. But really it is more than that. It is also because I believe that even the people who know and understand the seriousness of the global climate change (that is happening now) are missing one very important reason for controlling our carbon dioxide output. It is more than the predicted increase in the severity of storms or a rise in sea level (and that is bad enough!). It is the very survival of our present day civilization that is in peril.

I am a plant pathologist and at the end of the last century I had the privilege of working with one of my graduate advisors on the development of college class to teach biology to undergraduates in the hopes of luring some of them into the field of Plant Pathology. I eventually ended up teaching the class online for several years and wrote a book specifically for that online class. In the process of writing that book, I learned just how important the world’s climate has been for past human civilizations.

Like many others, I have always had a fascination about past civilizations like the Maya, the Minoans, and the Moche, to name a few. What had happened to these once great civilizations? As I was doing the research required for this new biology class, taught from the point of view of a Plant Pathologist, I found a new insight into what must have happened to these civilizations.

It is this insight I would like to share with any who will find and read this blog. So here goes…..

Introduction

To understand why global warming today is so important we have to go back about 10,000 years to another time of global warming.

Like human beings all over the globe 10,000 years ago, people in a place called the Levant were living in mountain caves and making their living by hunting and gathering. They fed themselves by fishing, hunting gazelle and other mammals, and by gathering fruits, roots, and seeds including the intensive gathering of many wild cereal grasses. Then, between 13,000 and 9000 BCE, their world began to change. The global climate was warming and these people began to settle in villages and build houses of stones and mud bricks. By 7000 BC these people were evolving into the world's first farmers. From that time on, most human beings have been feed by agriculture not by hunting and gathering.

This is important for several reasons. First, agriculture can support higher population densities than hunting and gathering. Second, the transition to agricultural set the stage for the next step in the story of human evolution – the development of what we call civilization. There are many definitions of civilization but basically civilization means the presence of densely populated cities/states, and the bureaucracy to run them.

The very first civilization, or state society, evolved just east of the Levant in the river valley of the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers south of the Zagros Mountains. (You know… IRAQ!) Over the next 2000 years, agriculture spread from the Levant. It spread eastward down the river valleys of the Tigris and Euphrates of today’s Iraq and to the Indus Valley in Pakistan. It spread south to the Nile Valley of Egypt. It spread north into Turkey and Southern Europe and into Greece. Civilizations all across the Middle East flourished.

However, somewhere between 2000 and 1200 BCE, these civilizations descended into chaos. They left us with grand monuments (Sumer, Egypt, Minoan) and a great mystery to ponder…What happened?



Guess what…. the global climate changed!




Except for the global warming that happened 10,000 years ago, the climate changes of the last 8000 years have been times of global cooling, not warming. However, what you need to know is this. For modern humans, it does not much matter whether the global temperature is going up or going down.



What matters is that it is changing!



Why? It’s because both global warming and global cooling change where it rains and we humans put our civilizations where it rains.

And why is that? Simple put, it is because we build our civilizations where people can be fed. And guess what - the plants we eat and the plants we feed to the animals we eat need water to grow!!!!! And just enough water, not too much and not too little! Putting it another way…..



It’s Agriculture!!!!